Showing posts with label Democratic Party. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Democratic Party. Show all posts

Friday, November 15, 2024

Quote of the Day (Eric Levitz, With an Election Prediction That Actually Came to Pass)

“[T]he Trump era indicated that its coalition has more room to grow than liberals tend to think. The GOP improved with Hispanics nationwide as well as with Black and Asian American voters. Historically, immigrant communities have grown more conservative in their later generations, and Hispanic and Asian immigrant groups may follow a similar trajectory. At the same time, as the Black church declines, and young African-Americans enter more integrated social networks than their forebears, the Democrats' capacity to unite 90-plus percent of the demographic behind their banner is likely to diminish.

“If the Republicans make minuscule expansions to their base, they will likely control all three branches of the federal government by 2025 while boasting a hammerlock on the Senate for a decade or more.”—American political and economics reporter Eric Levitz, “The Big Rig,” New York Magazine, June 7-20, 2021

With Wednesday’s news that Republicans have maintained their hold on the House of Representatives, the Democratic nightmare envisioned by Levitz has come to pass.

All those 2002 predictions about demographic trends spelling “An Emerging Democratic Majority,” one of those generational “realignments” so beloved by political scientists, have turned out to be electoral fools’ gold—and even that optimistic book’s authors, John Judis and Ruy Teixeira, saw fit to revise their estimate last year with Where Have All the Democrats Gone?

Well, no matter. First things first: how the Democrats plan to block the worst Trump appointments and actions, right now.

Tuesday, July 16, 2024

Quote of the Day (Wilfrid Sheed, on Political Conventions)

“Well, you know about conventions. No matter how dull they try to make themselves, to show how America has truly come of age, they still have all the silly excitement of kids’ birthday parties. If you've happened to miss one, the next closest thing would be wandering around a county fair with a straw hat and a jug of moonshine.”— English-born American novelist and essayist Wilfrid Sheed (1930-2011), People Will Always Be Kind (1973)

For delegates at conventions, I imagine that Wilfrid Sheed’s description here still captures the giddy feeling of getting together with others of your tribe cheering for a candidate. But so much else has changed, for both attendees and television viewers.

Sheed didn’t know it back in 1973, but the central notion of conventions for the 140 years to that point—a quadrennial gathering in which a party would truly decide on its nominee and running mate—was already coming to an end.

Dismayed by the outcome of their Chicago convention in 1968, when party grandees chose a nominee, Hubert Humphrey, who had not entered a single primary, the Democrats had instituted by 1972 new rules that made primaries the principal means of selecting nominees, and limited delegates’ ability to back off pre-convention declarations of loyalty.

With party leaders’ role in choosing nominees vastly diminished, it would be all over but the shouting when delegates got to the convention and the TV cameraswhich had aired for all the world to see the Democrats' disorder inside and outside the confab in '68whirred once again.

That same year, the Republicans amplified their 1968 model for how conventions would be run—" a picture of a buttoned-down organization,” headed by "law-and-order" nominee Richard Nixon, as recalled in Don Gonyea’s August 2018 NPR retrospective.

Not only would films of the candidate now be aired in prime time, but TV networks would receive advance copies of minute-by-minute convention-night scripts already approved by party leaders.

Conventions were now becoming extended, prime-time political commercials rather than events where party futures were decided—marketing opportunities that reflected the experiences of Nixon advisers H.R. Haldeman (a longtime J. Walter Thompson executive) and Roger Ailes (whose work as the candidate’s executive producer for television was chronicled in Joe McGinniss’ The Selling of the President 1968).

This year’s GOP convention already looks like it will follow this recent model. As for the Democrats—well, we’ll see if they remain bound by the rules they instituted a half century ago, or if they will remind viewers, after so much time, of the Will Rogers wisecrack, “I am not a member of any organized party — I am a Democrat.” 

The image accompanying this post, showing the Republican National Convention in Miami Beach, Florida, on Aug. 22, 1972, is from the Nixon White House Photographs, 1/20/1969 - 8/9/1974 series, in the White House Photo Office Collection (Nixon Administration), 1/20/1969 - 8/9/1974.

Tuesday, July 2, 2019

Essay: Abortion—Biden’s ‘Eagleton Moment’


“It’s troubling that [former Vice-President Joe] Biden should so easily abandon what, until the other day, seemed a deeply held position. It is also troubling that a major element of the Democratic Party is so intolerant of an opposing idea that it would doom a candidacy on that basis alone. This lockstep abortion platform seeks to impose a simplistic position on a morally vexing issue and is reminiscent of 1992, when at the Democratic National Convention the party denied a pro-life Democrat, Gov. Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, a speaking slot.”—Richard Cohen, “Joe Biden’s Flip-Flop on Abortion Reeks of Insincerity,” The Washington Post, June 10, 2019

Last week’s Presidential debates were enough to make John Kasich, speaking yesterday morning at Chautauqua Institution, issue a warning: “The Democrats have moved so far to the left that they’re going to re-elect Trump if they’re not careful.”

Part of me couldn’t help thinking that, as a lifelong Republican, the two-time Presidential candidate was not exactly a disinterested observer. But part of me couldn’t help agreeing with him, particularly when he went on to say that America was a “center-right and center-left country.” By the end of the two debates, the leftward tilt of his opponents had left little room for front-runner Joe Biden to tack back toward the middle—assuming that he does win the nomination.

You don’t have to go far to see where the new lines of orthodoxy are forming: single-payer health insurance with no role for the private sector; reparations for descendants of African-American slaves; the closing of ICE. But perhaps the greatest danger to the eventual Democratic nominee is taxpayer-funded abortions for all situations.

For the preservation of American democracy and even of world order and peace, there is nothing—nothing—so important as ridding the Oval Office of its current pestilential occupant. That’s what makes so infuriating the Democratic left’s insistence on repealing the Hyde Amendment barring federal funding for abortion except to save the life of the woman, or if the pregnancy arises from incest or rape—and Biden’s abject surrender to that demand only a day after re-asserting his four-decade support of it.

There is a reason for the endurance of this legislation (named for the late Illinois Congressman Henry Hyde) since its enactment in 1976: It’s the closest legislative attempt to take into account so many Americans' ambivalence about abortion. That uncertainty also explains, for instance, why, though sentiment for same-sex marriage has moved decisively in a favorable direction in far less time, this country remains as fundamentally divided about abortion as it was when Roe v. Wade was handed down in 1973.

But, whether a product of the Left’s fury at anything associated even peripherally with Donald Trump, punitive new restrictions in states like Alabama, or Biden’s willingness to stretch too far for the Presidential prize that has long eluded him, the narrowed debate among Democrats this past week on this issue consigns what should be a searching discussion of moral ambiguity to a simple bumper sticker: “choice.”

Remarkably, their patent political foolishness matches their moral myopia.

Already, Trump is trotting out a line that will undoubtedly join his jabs about “socialism” a year from now: “Virtually every top Democrat also now supports taxpayer-funded abortion right up to the moment of birth,” he said at his campaign kickoff rally in Orlando two weeks ago.

For any other candidate other than the insult-spewing, managerial disaster in the Oval Office, this would have been the electoral equivalent of a haymaker. It may still be enough to make thousands of former or on-the-fence voters think twice about electing any Democrat.

Just when they can’t afford to lose the vote of any Republicans or independents disgruntled by Trump’s misconduct but sympathetic to some of his policies, the Democratic left has angered and alienated them.

Nice going, people.

I don’t think that terms like “liberal” or “progressive” apply to this group. The one that does is “Jacobin,” named for the extreme radicals who, before they were done, took the French Revolution beyond its initial aims of “liberty, equality, fraternity” to intolerance of other viewpoints, the Reign of Terror—and a reaction that saw a new strongman, Napoleon Bonaparte, rise from the chaos.

And so now, New York, Illinois, Rhode Island and Nevada have liberalized their abortion laws. Increasingly, there are no limits allowed to discourage partial-birth abortion, abortion on the basis of a preferred gender for a child—or, astoundingly for a party that has long championed greater regulation in all sectors of the economy to ensure safety, decriminalizing, in Nevada, supplying abortion-inducing pills without the advice of a doctor.

Washington Post columnist Michael Gerson has rightly pointed out the fateful step taken by the Jacobin Democrats: not merely permitting abortion under the Supreme Court’s Roe v. Wade guidelines, but actively promoting it.

It might be easy for the Left to dismiss this criticism by Gerson, a religious conservative who served as a speechwriter for George W. Bush. But it’s harder to ignore when the same argument is made by two liberals, Gerson’s Post colleague Cohen or PBS pundit Mark Shields, who correctly identify the multiple problems in Biden’s quick-as-a-blink capitulation to the absolutist wing of his party:

*If Biden had to change his position, he had plenty of time to do so before now. All the way down to his formal entrance into the primaries this year, Biden could have adjusted the position on abortion that he first staked out in his 2007 campaign memoir, Promises to Keep: “I’ve stuck to my middle-of-the-road position on abortion for more than 30 years. I still vote against partial birth abortion and federal funding, and I’d like to make it easier for scared young mothers to choose not to have an abortion, but I will also vote against a constitutional amendment that strips a woman of her right to make her own choice.”  By waiting till he was called out on the campaign trail, he furthered the decades-long impression that he is an inept Presidential candidate who can’t survive the primaries.

*Biden did not have to see himself cornered as the sole Democratic candidate who had voted for the Hyde Amendment. In fact, every single Democrat now running for the Presidency has cast a vote for the various spending bills that have included the amendment, according to this report by Carter Sherman of Vice. To be sure, they have said they have not voted for that specifically, but merely to maintain the mechanism to keep the government running. But the overall impact is about the same as those on Capitol Hill who said they opposed the Vietnam War but kept funding it.

*It will be far easier for Trump to cast Biden as an ideological weathervane. Think John Kerry looked bad after those windsurfing commercials in the 2004 election? Think what the President can do all by himself to Biden, without any TV ads. If he hasn’t cast about for a suitable nickname to match, rest assured it’s coming soon.

*The party that prides itself on “diversity” means that in terms of race, ethnicity and sexual orientation, not ideology. This weekend, New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof took many of the paper’s readers—and, more widely speaking, college student activists—for demonizing conservatives and evangelicals. “Too often, we liberals embrace people who don’t look like us, but only if they think like us,” he pointed out.

Over the last couple of years, centrist voters—of both Democratic and Republican stripes—have been searching for a “Sister Souljah” moment, similar to Bill Clinton’s 1992 primary season repudiation of an extremist member of an otherwise traditional and loyal element of his party.

Instead, this past month centrists got Biden’s “Eagleton moment”—a sudden, undignified abandonment of what had seemed like absolute support for a person or position. That reference might mean little or nothing to the under-30s voters that Democrats keep touting as the electoral wave of the future, but it will strike a chord among the Baby Boomers who gave Trump his margin of victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

They will remember how George McGovern, the 1972 Democratic nominee for President, said, after the news broke of Thomas Eagleton’s electroshock therapy for treating depression, that he would back his running mate “1000 percent”; that he went back on his word just a couple of days later; and that an electorate already regarding McGovern quizzically now saw him as a weak, incompetent mess.

Biden’s abrupt about-face holds the potential for similar damage to Biden. It could even come from the left: On occasion, Garry Trudeau has neatly summed up the essence of certain politicos with an object rather than a face: a lit bomb for Newt Gingrich (referencing his destructive impact), a waffle for Bill Clinton (for his ideological dexterity). If he ever gets around to treating Biden in the same fashion, the object could be a humble piece of beach footwear: a flip-flop.

The split-the-difference posture that Biden jettisoned after a landslide of pressure was the party’s last nod in the direction of abortion being “safe, legal but rare”—Clinton’s rhetorically shrewd gesture to the uneasiness so many Americans feel about the procedure. You can take it to the bank that the last adjective goes by the wayside through the easier access desired by the Jacobin Democrats—and enacted into law in places like New York and Illinois.

Among the worst offenders is New York’s Senator Kirsten Gillibrand. She didn’t make much of an impression in the debates, but she represents a useful barometer of the worrisome new direction of her party as it relates to abortion: the equation of qualms about abortion to anti-Semitism and homophobia.

 “Imagine saying that it’s OK to appoint a judge who’s racist or anti-Semitic or homophobic,” she said in a Des Moines Register interview a couple of weeks ago. “Asking someone to appoint someone who takes away basic human rights of any group of people in America ... I don’t think those are political issues anymore.”

“All these efforts by President Trump and other ultra-radical conservative judges and justices to impose their faith on Americans is contrary to our Constitution, and that’s what this is,” she continued, adding: “There is no moral equivalency when you come to racism. And I do not believe that there is a moral equivalency when it comes to changing laws that deny women reproductive freedom.”

By this newly heightened rhetoric, the Jacobin left is not just imposing a litmus test but also a religious one. They effectively foreclose any appointment of a Catholic, for instance, who, in all other particulars about racial and economic justice and foreign policy, sides with the party, except for abortion.

The Democratic hierarchy has been struggling mightily to bring back to the fold voters in the Rust Belt who left the party in 2016. Do they really think Biden’s change will lure them back now, given the high proportion of Catholic voters in those states?

Once more, the Jacobin wing of the party has changed the conversation from the economic issues that are winners to the social ones that have kept them out of the White House these past 2½ years. They have just made the obstacles to winning it back that much harder to clear.

A Democratic path to victory will be assured as much by softening GOP support as by turning out their own hardcore supporters, but you’d better believe it will be far closer than the pollsters and pundits are forecasting now. Remember: not only did few foresee a Trump victory, but a number even foresaw a punishing landslide against the GOP.

In November 2020, in the not-unlikely event of another Trump victory, the Jacobin left would be well-advised to stop casting around for forces to blame, domestic or foreign, but instead take a long, hard look in their own mirrors. In their game of idiot’s delight, they’re already doing everything they can to hand re-election to Trump—and nowhere with as much moral obtuseness as in the abortion issue.

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Quote of the Day (Charles Peters, on Hillary Clinton’s ‘Smug Certainty of Her Own Virtue’)


“What scares me the most is Hillary’s smug certainty of her own virtue as she has become greedy and how typical that is of so many chic liberals who seem unaware of their own greed. They don’t really face the complicity of what’s happened to the world, how selfish we’ve become and the horrible damage of screwing the workers and causing this resentment that the Republicans found a way of tapping into.”—Former Washington Monthly editor Charles Peters quoted in Maureen Dowd, “Curtains for the Clintons,” The New York Times, Dec. 2, 2018

Charles Peters, let it be said right away, is no Trump supporter. But he’s in as good a position as anyone to understand why Hillary Clinton lost the support of the working class that had been a bulwark of the Democrats going back at least to the New Deal.

Now in his 90s, Peters was a county campaign chairman in his native West Virginia for John F. Kennedy in the 1960 Presidential election. Since 2000, he has watched in dismay and horror every four years as this once reliably Democratic state has given its wholehearted allegiance to the GOP.

Years from now, historians will be utterly perplexed over why Hillary Clinton, so obviously better qualified for the Presidency than her opponent—and part of an administration with a favorable record on the economic and national-security issues that matter to voters—could have lost to Donald Trump. Perplexed, that is, unless they understand the smugness that Peters correctly identifies as infuriating to the working class.

How could anyone question her good faith, Ms. Clinton wonders, even as she and her husband took in $240 million over a 15-year period speaking to all manner of industry groups and foreign countries who sensed—correctly—that she would be gearing up for a third Clinton term in the Oval Office. Her tone-deafness in making three speeches to Goldman Sachs totaling $675,000—and then refusing to divulge the transcripts of the addresses (which ended up out there anyway, courtesy of WikiLeaks)—is remarkable.

But then, it is hardly less remarkable than a Democratic Party that helped pass NAFTA under Clinton’s husband—an agreement that, it is plain to see now, did nowhere near enough to protect American workers from production jobs being moved to Mexico, not to mention lowering wages and benefits here at home, according to an analysis five years ago by the Economic Policy Institute.

In the 1936 election, even amid the Great Depression, Franklin Roosevelt fulminated against the “economic royalists” of Wall Street, and won in a landslide. In 2016, a more brazen “economic royalist” than FDR could ever have dreamed of won the Presidency, in no small part because of the very real faults that so many in the working class detected in Ms. Clinton.

Power is as addictive as any opioid, a condition demonstrated once again by Ms. Clinton’s unwillingness to disclaim any more attempts at the Oval Office. For Trump to be defeated in 2020—and Trumpism to be removed from the American body politic thereafter—Clinton needs to be repudiated by the Democrats, along with the corporate coziness that led the party to look away as the 1% put workers’ livelihoods and lives at risk, then escaped the jail time they so richly deserved for causing the Crash of ’08.

Saturday, December 2, 2017

Clinton, Franken, and the Revived ‘One-Free-Grope’ Rule



I was asking an Alabama native a few weeks ago what was going on in his home state with the controversy swirling around Judge Roy Moore and his alleged inclination toward teen girls when he noted that the sexual scandals were spreading all over D.C. Had I heard about Senator Al Franken yet?

What?” I answered.

During lunch, I read on my tablet how Franken, on a 2006 USO tour to entertain troops in Afghanistan, had kissed and groped another member of that tour, model (now radio broadcaster) Leeann Tweeden, without permission. My prior astonishment that Moore’s campaign was not going into irretrievable freefall gave way to burning anger at Franken. I expected Moore to be two-faced and recalcitrant, the type of person who, throughout the Jim Crow era, would have screamed about the South’s Christian duty not to amalgamate the races even as he was screwing the African-American servant. 

But another consequence, equally predictable, utterly exasperated me: Donald Trump, the Pigpen of American politics, would kick up enough dust to divert attention from his own multiple scandals.

At a time when every effort needed to be focused on exposing him as a colossal fraud—including sexual harassment claims by at least a dozen different women—the President could charge his opponents with hypocrisy. 

Worse still, there was that tell-tale picture of the U.S. Senator from Minnesota, leering at the camera as his hands lurked in the vicinity of the breasts of a sleeping Tweeden.

Subsequent events did nothing to abate my rage. In fact, they only stoked it. It wasn’t only because, as I (and more than a few Americans) guessed correctly, Trump went on Twitter in no time, handing out to his tart Senate opponent the nickname “Franken-stein,” the same way he had dubbed others “Pocahontas” Warren, “Low Energy Jeb” Bush, “Little Marco” Rubio, “Lyin’ Ted” Cruz, and “Crooked Hillary” Clinton.

No, even worse was the parade of one Democrat after another minimizing Franken’s misconduct. The party line increasingly has become this: His behavior was inappropriate, even “stupid,” but not criminal or chronic, like Moore’s or Trump’s, in a trope dating back to the 1990s: “Let’s move on.”

Not so fast. Leave aside the issue of whether six accusers (including ones who charge him with roaming hands while he was in office) now constitute "chronic" misbehavior. 

All these contentions may be true to an extent but also beside the point. I’m afraid they also betray an implicit hyper-partisanship that Democrats don’t recognize, part of a tone-deafness so immense that the party will not only lose the midterm and 1920 Presidential elections, but deserve to.

Journalist Bob Collins, reflecting at Minnesota Public Radio's NewsCut blog, expressed it best:



"Here’s what the Democratic Party and the people who speak for it can’t bring themselves to understand: Women are tired of this; they’re tired of all of it. If politicians don’t understand what’s wrong with the daily harassment that women face, they’re not going to give a break to politicians or their party on the basis of 'it could always be worse.'”

A few Democrats, alive to this danger, have called for Franken’s resignation. But the default option has been referral to the Senate Ethics Committee, a move endorsed by Franken himself, who has pledged to cooperate with its investigation.

If you suspect that this is a self-interested action all around, you would be right. 

Both parties on Capitol Hill know that the Ethics Committee is a lumbering beast, with gums instead of teeth. Its deliberations, they believe, will be delayed and protracted enough to allow enough time for them to call for his outright resignation if overwhelming proof of more Franken misconduct emerges—or (certainly in Franken’s case) for prospective voters to get over what the pols regard as their current hissy fit if only a single offense comes to light.

No wonder that George Washington University law professor Jonathan Turley, in an opinion piece for The Hill, notes: “It is the equivalent to volunteering to be chased by a wild pack of golden retriever puppies. They are likely to catch you but hardly likely to devour you.”

The Clinton Dilemma Again, in a Tougher Time

Liberals find themselves in the same predicament with Franken as with President Clinton nearly two decades ago. Again, they find a misbehaving incumbent whose removal might be irksome but hardly disabling to their agenda. This time, out of power, with a public newly woke to the mistreatment of women, the wind is not at their backs, though.

During the Lewinsky scandal, Democrats could have pushed Clinton to resign in favor of Al Gore, who, going into the 2000 Presidential election, would have inherited his predecessor’s strong economy but without his immense personal baggage. In Franken’s case, the Democrats have in place a Minnesota governor, Mark Dayton, who can appoint a member of their own party to the vacated seat without losing a vote in the Senate. 

But in both instances, Democrats’ love of a figure with show-business quality blinds them to the larger damage done to their “brand” as advocates of the marginalized and mistreated. They write off any attempt to adhere to their principles as, in the words of a fretting Michelle Goldberg in The New York Times, “unilateral disarmament.” 

Kate Harding gave definitive shape to this fear in a Washington Post piece in which she worried that, if Democrats “set this precedent in the interest of demonstrating our party’s solidarity with harassed and abused women, we’re only going to drain the swamp of people who, however flawed, still regularly vote to protect women’s rights and freedoms.”

That is exactly the type of rhetoric Franken counted on when he issued a statement this last week that he regretted that these incidents might make people forget he was a "champion of women." 

Let's just get past the euphemisms from Harding and Franken and reduce their arguments to the basics, shall we? They mean this: Franken and other politicians can grab a woman's breasts, buttocks, or any other body part in reach, as long as they guarantee the right to abortion under any and all circumstances.

The Cost of Rationalizing, Minimizing, and Moral Relativism 

As I have listened to the increasingly frantic rationalizing, minimizing and moral relativism surrounding Franken’s misbehavior, on primary media outlets of “The Resistance” such as MSNBC, I saw the revival of a trope I hadn’t heard in nearly two decades: the “one-grope rule.”

For those of you who may have forgotten—or were too young to live through the tawdry Nineties—the one-grope rule was the term that Debra J. Saunders, writing in the San Francisco Chronicle, used to summarize Gloria Steinem’s minimizing of Bill Clinton’s alleged misbehavior toward Kathleen Willey in the Oval Office.

In 1993, Ms. Willey, a Democratic volunteer, had come seeking a job, prompting the President to grope her and push her hand toward his crotch, she claimed in a 60 Minutes interview three years later. Let’s say “for the sake of argument,” Ms. Steinem wrote in a March 1998 op-ed for The New York Times, that this situation had occurred. When Ms. Willey protested, Ms. Steinem wrote, Clinton had stopped, taking “no” for an answer. 

In other words, concluded the founder of a movement that had thrust into the public consciousness a heightened awareness of dangerously sexualized workplaces: “Even if the allegations are true, the President is not guilty of sexual harassment.”

Ms. Steinem did not explain why sexual harassment did not apply to Clinton but did to Clarence Thomas, whose allegedly raunchy interactions with Anita Hill never approached the physical stage that they may well have done with Clinton and Willey—and in an appointive post far less powerful than the Presidency. Nor did she explain why, if Hill was to be believed about incidents that occurred nearly a decade before, the same openness to listening could not have been accorded to Ms. Willey—or, for that matter, to Paula Jones—for actions that occurred in less than half that time.

Simultaneously, journalist Nina Burleigh dispensed with the tortured legal reasoning of Steinem when she infamously told Washington Post media columnist Howard Kurtz: “I would be happy to give him [Clinton] a blowjob just to thank him for keeping abortion legal. I think American women should be lining up with their Presidential kneepads on to show their gratitude for keeping the theocracy off our backs.” 

Fast forward nearly 20 years later. Non-Alabamians deride voters in that state for choosing an abortion opponent such as Moore, even if this means they might be electing a candidate credibly accused of child molestation. But how does this to-the-last-dog-dies support differ from that offered Clinton by Steinem, Burleigh, and other progressives? How could they expect these voters to take their moral concerns seriously when they had not reciprocated during Clinton’s impeachment crisis—a predicament, let it be stipulated, resulting from his own irresponsibility and callousness?

The media fixation with the Oval Office mess involving “that woman, Ms. Lewinsky” (Clinton’s own term) enabled his defenders to fob the whole thing off as a consensual affair, while other more disturbing incidents faded into the background. Paula Jones could be dismissed as trailer-park trash, while the episodes related to Ms. Willey and Juanita Broaddrick (who accused Clinton of raping her in 1978) could be removed from the public discussion as at best impossible to prove, and at worst the product of gold-digging or women scorned.

In much the same way, the item that definitively proved Senator Franken’s inappropriate behavior—the photo—diverted attention from related activity: the rehearsal for Franken and Tweeden’s USO skit, when, as she recounted last month, “he came at me, put his hand on the back of my head, mashed his lips against mine, and aggressively stuck his tongue in my mouth.”

That rehearsal—or, to use a term that Senator Franken might understand better, foreplay--made a hash of his explanation that the whole thing was “clearly intended to be funny but wasn’t,” with the corollary that he “mock-groped” her—an assertion inadequately challenged on the cable news gabfests.

During one of the debates last year, Trump had Jones, Willey, and Broaddrick take chairs in full view of Mrs. Clinton and the TV cameras. Aside from complaining about Trump's cheap trick, the Democrats carped that this proved that the women were, as they had said 20 years before, tools of the GOP.

Maybe, or maybe not. Ms. Broaddrick had five different people vouch that she had told them about the rape contemporaneously--today, as in 1998, a commonly accepted yardstick for judging an accuser's credibility (one that, as it happens, is now being used tellingly against Judge Moore). Yet the Democratic Party never bothered to listen to her complaint. Why would she not, then, give herself over to people--even a rival political party--that would?

All of that came with a cost. In 2000, Al Gore went down to defeat in his attempt to succeed Clinton. Historically speaking, it's very hard for a party to lose power if the nation is not slogging through either a disastrous war or economic hard times. Yet the GOP base turned out in droves, angered by their most recent loss (the Clinton impeachment) in the culture wars. 

A few years later, despite having to apologize for on-set behavior that he saw as "horseplay" but that others saw as sexual harassment, Arnold Schwarzenegger managed to oust Democratic incumbent Gray Davis. Liberal griping over the star that Garry Trudeau's "Doonesbury" termed "Der Gropernator" fell on deaf ears for voters who recognized, correctly, that Clinton's breach had gone unpunished.

The New ‘Slut-Shaming’: The Same Old Stupid, Mean and Destructive Behavior

Like Bill Clinton, Franken only ‘fessed up when incontrovertible physical evidence emerged of his misconduct. In Clinton’s case, it was Monica Lewinsky’s stained dress; in Franken’s, it was that photo of him near Ms. Tweeden, part of a CD of images distributed at the end of the tour.

What might have happened if Ms. Tweeden hadn’t released the photo? We can make a good guess from Franken’s second, lengthier statement issued Thursday: He didn’t recall the rehearsal in the same way that she did. 

In other words, even when the whole world could see for itself that he had acted improperly, he still tried to half-heartedly insist that the prelude—what he might have thought of as “foreplay” to the main act—wasn’t what she said. 

It’s a fair assumption that, had he not chosen to pose for and distribute that photo—and had she not chosen to keep it—he’d still be swearing up and down that he’d acted like a perfect gentleman. 

(Recall also that, before that stained dress emerged, Clinton enabler Sidney Blumenthal sent up a trial balloon by his good friend, British journalist Christopher Hitchens, that Lewinsky was "a predatory and unstable stalker.”)

In recent years, this nation has become acutely aware of teenage “slut-shaming” through social media. Mr. Franken’s end-of-tour distribution of the Tweeden photo was every bit as stupid, mean and destructive as such behavior, only it involved—like Clinton again—a fiftysomething, married male rather than a horny adolescent guy on spring break. Somehow, Franken never got the message that being an entertainer, let alone a politician, was hardly a license for delayed juvenile cruelty. 

Ever since the “one-grope rule” was promulgated, the criticism that ensued was written off as a product of conservatism. Nonsense. It is the natural derision that should come to anyone who discards ideals the second they became inconvenient.

Franken Unlucky in His Role Model

Franken can only scratch his head in dismay as he contemplates how Clinton, for many Democrats, remains a so-called “rock star” while he faces the real possibility that, even if his fellow Senators do not move against him, voters might turn him out of office at the next election. Disappointment is the logical consequence when one looks to someone whose particular skills and the zeitgeist of the ‘90s are not transferable to even an eager protégé such as Franken. 

Clearly, the comedian and the President were drawn to each other as early as two decades ago. While Franken was an entertainer with an unscratched need to pontificate and be taken seriously, Clinton was a politician who relished his opportunity to rub shoulders with entertainers and to bask in the spotlight himself. He not only appeared on The Arsenio Hall Show with a sax, but demonstrated an easy familiarity and soft touch with Hollywood and music celebrities that eluded Al Gore, because of his now-estranged wife Tipper’s crusade against misogynistic rap lyrics. 

When it came to be his own time to turn politics into performance art, then, Franken didn’t have far to look.

At the 1996 White House Correspondents Dinner, Franken came out to roast Bill Clinton. The audience wanted to see if the famous wit used on scripts for Saturday Night Live would be unleashed on a President whose faults were just as obvious as his political skills. The sensibilities of the White House were especially tender because the year before, Don Imus had torn into Clinton.

Bill and Hillary need not have feared. Going over a list of subjects he wasn’t allowed to talk about, Franken mentioned one: “I’m not to do any jokes about any aspect of the President’s personal life except his eating habits. Evidently, sir, you eat a lot.”

Clinton guffawed, then relaxed. The comedian had taken note of one of the President’s appetites—for food—while passing over lightly one more obvious but painful for the President and his supporters: his lust.

At SNL, Franken had made his living among a stable of writers and performers who pushed boundaries with Establishment-thumbing skits. But in his remarks on Clinton, he demonstrated that, close to the center of power, he could change in virtually no time. He entered the honorary group of “Friends of Bill.”

In his most recent crisis, however, Franken has demonstrated that he lacked both Clinton’s shameless streak and a spouse who constantly, visibly supported and abetted him. The President could wax indignant for so long that, by the time it was definitively proven that he had lied—not only about Lewinsky, but Gennifer Flowers—people had grown sick of the subject. 

In contrast, Senator Franken’s statements on subsequent accusers who have accused him of fondling their buttocks have been lame and half-hearted rather than brazen.

He has caved, and his enemies smell blood. His first 300-vote-margin victory over incumbent Norm Coleman in 2008, won after a contentious recount, might not have been achieved had his encounter with Ms. Tweeden come to light at the time. 

Don’t think that the Minnesota GOP isn’t smarting over that. And, in the topsy-turvy political environment, don’t be optimistic that the Republicans will turn to a crazy right-winger who can’t possibly be elected. Look at the Oval Office and absorb the harsh lesson taught by the dangers of over-confidence.

The Difference a Few Months Makes

This past summer, the cover of Rolling Stone included the headline, “Al Franken: Hanging With the Senate's The Happy Warrior.” It was the kind of play on words that the cognoscenti love—not just a reference to Franken’s past as a comedian, nor even his present as a soundbite-ready quipster ready to take on the Trump Administration, but a possible future as a nominee of a Democratic coalition in the making, much like Al Smith, originally christened “The Happy Warrior” by Franklin Roosevelt at the 1924 Democratic Convention.

Obviously, everything’s changed. The shimmering vision of the Presidency has been revealed as an illusion, and Franken, post-Tweeden, is one of the grimmest figures on the tense, Trump-shadowed Capitol Hill. 

If he’s ever lucky enough to get a reprint of past and current bestsellers, Franken might see two titles of his titles—the current Al Franken: Giant of the Senate and the past Rush Limbaugh Is a Big, Fat Idiot—crammed into one more alarming one: Al Franken: Giant Big, Fat Idiot pf the Senate.

Here’s some advice, Al: Resign—unless you want Washington, the voters, and everyone you meet to kick you to the curb in the meantime.

(The photo accompanying this post, showing Franken and Bill Clinton in late October 2008, was taken by Calebrw/Wikinews.)