Aug. 30, 2021—Less than two weeks removed from the anticipated complete withdrawal of U.S. troops from Afghanistan, Taliban forces forced that timetable to be radically revised.
Army Major
General Chris Donahue represented not just just the last U.S. service member to
leave at the end of a chaotic two-week period, but also the failure of
America’s two-decade effort at nation-building in the country that harbored the
9/11 terrorists.
More than
a few officials bore responsibility for this ignominious end to America’s
longest war, but the one left holding the bag was President Joe Biden. Coming
eight months into his administration, the images of civilians
clinging to military transport plane and a suicide bombing that killed 13 U.S.
service members demoralized TV viewers who had never seen or had forgotten
similar scenes of disarray in Saigon in April 1975.
Biden’s
approval rating fell from 49 percent at the start of August 2021 to 43 percent
a month later, according to Gallup polling, and never really recovered after
that.
Periodically,
American foreign-policy or military failures lead to the question, “Who lost
it?”, as occurred in China and Vietnam. The Biden administration was certainly
responsible for setting up a symbolic but arbitrary withdrawal date (the
anniversary of 9/11) that left inadequate time for planning an orderly transfer
to complete Afghan military self-reliance.
But
multiple mistakes, as early as America’s initial airstrikes in October 2001,
ensured that this would be a waste of American blood and treasure, including:
*Failing
to catch Osama bin-Laden quickly: In an August 2021 Wall Street Journal
analysis, Eliot Cohen thought that several brigades of light infantry were
needed to finish off al Qaeda. Instead, bin-Laden eluded capture and remain
the symbol (if not operational leader) of the terrorist network until he was
killed a decade later in a raid into Pakistan.
*The Iraq
War diverted needed men and equipment from Afghanistan. Five years ago, Jonah
Blank, a former policy adviser to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee,
observed in an article for The Atlantic, “the original sin of the war in
Afghanistan was going to war in Iraq.” Bush advisers sought to convince the
American public that Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein was a destabilizing force in
the region, but he did not have weapons of mass destruction, as they claimed.
The result of the change in focus was detrimental to the U.S. long-range
campaign in Afghanistan, according to Blank: “Too light a troop presence in
Afghanistan meant that security was never truly established; too little money
actually delivered meant that the fledgling government was never able to prove
its credibility to its own people; too little focus from U.S. policy makers
meant that a highly centralized governing structure, imposed on a
never-before-centralized nation, could not be prevented from degenerating into
nepotism, ineffectiveness, and rampant corruption. Failure to provide enough
troops, money, and focus on the front end resulted in exponentially more
troops, money, and focus down the line."
*Misguided
drone use. Some military experts thought that, after announcing a troop
surge after his inauguration in 2009, Barack Obama’s announced mass drawdown
five years later occurred when Afghan security forces were still inadequately
trained. But his authorization of more drone attacks led to civilian casualties
that turned much of the population (along with then-Afghan President Hamid
Karzai) against the continuing American presence.
*Corruption
in the Afghan government: As early as August 2012, in a statement to the
House Armed Services Committee’s Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations,
Vanda Felbab-Brown of the Brookings Institutions warned, “Afghans have become
disconnected and alienated from the national government and the country’s other
power arrangements,” resenting “the abuse of power, impunity, and lack of
justice that have become entrenched over the past decade.”
*Lies
and concealment among American political and military leaders about progress in
the war: In December 2019, the Washington Post revealed the existence
of an explosive study showing that American officials, fearing the consequences
of what might ensue once Americans left Afghanistan, misled the public by spinning
casualty counts and other data. Behind the scenes, it was another story, with
Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld, for instance, throwing up his hands in a
September 2003 memo: “I have no visibility into who the bad guys are.”
*Donald
Trump left a skeletal American force in the country just as Biden was to be
inaugurated. The administration announcement that only 2,500 troops would remain
at that point came despite the lack of an agreement between Taliban and Afghan
government negotiators—and a warning by NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg
warns that too rapid a drawdown could expose the Afghan regime to collapse.
The public’s
overwhelming feeling of futility at the Taliban’s resumption of control was
palpable. But a few other aspects of the conflict got lost along the way:
*American
concern about oil at least partly accounted for bin Laden’s murderous rage.
George H.W. Bush ordered American troops stationed in Saudi Arabia to counter a
potential threat after Iraq invaded Kuwait. Those forces remained in the
kingdom even after the successful conclusion of Operation Desert Storm to
enforce no-fly zones protecting the Kurds. Bin Laden cited that presence as a
primary reason for waging jihad against the U.S.
*Questions
remain about the full extent of Saudi involvement with 9/11. Though the
administration of George W. Bush never specifically claimed that Saddam Hussein
collaborated with bin Laden on 9/11, they mentioned the dictator and terrorist
so often together that many Americans jumped to that conclusion. They were far
more pointed in claiming there was no high-level Saudi government support for
the attack. But most of the 9/11 hijackers (as well as bin Laden himself) came
from the country. A lawsuit by 9/11 victim families turned up a growing body of
circumstantial evidence that the Saudi government was being disingenuous about these
connections.
*The
overarching War on Terror distracted from countering the growing Chinese threat
in Asia. The phrase “War on Terror” itself provided the Chinese regime with
vocabulary to justify cracking down on the Muslim Uyghur minority in Xinjiang.
At the same time, military and intelligence resources that the Bush
administration could have devoted to monitoring Chinese saber-rattling in the
Far East were devoted instead to Afghanistan and Iraq.
(The image
accompanying this post, of U.S. Army Soldiers assigned to the 10th Mountain
Division standing security at Hamid Karzai International Airport, Kabul,
Afghanistan, was taken on Aug. 15, 2021, by Sgt.
Isaiah Campbell.)






