“It is human nature, if not the American way, to
look potential disaster in the face and prefer to see a bright and shining lie.
The ‘taming’ of this continent, in five centuries and change, required a mighty
mustering of cognitive dissonance. As a result, most of us live with the danger
of wildfire, earthquake, tornado, flooding, drought, hurricane or
yet-to-be-defined and climate-change-influenced superstorm. A legacy of
settlement is the delusion that large-scale manipulation of the natural world
can be done without consequence.”—Timothy Egan, “A Mudslide, Foretold,” The
New York Times, March 30, 2014
As I write this, President Obama was expected to
visit today with friends of the victims of last month’s mudslide in Oso, Wash.,
as well as first responders on the scene. Yesterday, NPR reported that the official death toll from the disaster had risen to 41, with another four people still missing.
You have to ask yourself why an event such as this
occurs, particularly, as in this case, where there had been prior worrisome
incidents. Perhaps the reason, as discussed in this blog post by David Ropeik for Psychology Today, lies in the “Risk Perception Gap,” or the self-delusional mental
calculus that leads people to choose to go on “living in a place they like, but
which could kill them.”
My guess is that the only way we will be able to
free ourselves from such delusions is if the insurance costs of living in these
environmental danger zones became too exorbitant. At that point, the
conservative reluctance to have government save people from misfortune will
meet the liberal desire to protect the environment, and, at long last, bring about
necessary change in where construction is allowed.
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