Showing posts with label Primaries. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Primaries. Show all posts

Monday, November 4, 2019

Quote of the Day (P.J. O'Rourke, on Eating as a ‘Vital Skill’ in Campaigning)


“A vital skill in running for office — especially during presidential primaries — is the ability to eat six pancake breakfasts and five spaghetti dinners a day at town halls, volunteer fire departments, VFW Posts, Elk Lodges, the Junior Chamber of Commerce, Rotary, Kiwanis, Lions Club, American Legion, Knights of Columbus and B'nai B'rith.” —American humorist P.J. O'Rourke, “Politicians Ought to be Licensed,” Washington Post, Oct. 23, 2019

Tuesday, July 2, 2019

Essay: Abortion—Biden’s ‘Eagleton Moment’


“It’s troubling that [former Vice-President Joe] Biden should so easily abandon what, until the other day, seemed a deeply held position. It is also troubling that a major element of the Democratic Party is so intolerant of an opposing idea that it would doom a candidacy on that basis alone. This lockstep abortion platform seeks to impose a simplistic position on a morally vexing issue and is reminiscent of 1992, when at the Democratic National Convention the party denied a pro-life Democrat, Gov. Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, a speaking slot.”—Richard Cohen, “Joe Biden’s Flip-Flop on Abortion Reeks of Insincerity,” The Washington Post, June 10, 2019

Last week’s Presidential debates were enough to make John Kasich, speaking yesterday morning at Chautauqua Institution, issue a warning: “The Democrats have moved so far to the left that they’re going to re-elect Trump if they’re not careful.”

Part of me couldn’t help thinking that, as a lifelong Republican, the two-time Presidential candidate was not exactly a disinterested observer. But part of me couldn’t help agreeing with him, particularly when he went on to say that America was a “center-right and center-left country.” By the end of the two debates, the leftward tilt of his opponents had left little room for front-runner Joe Biden to tack back toward the middle—assuming that he does win the nomination.

You don’t have to go far to see where the new lines of orthodoxy are forming: single-payer health insurance with no role for the private sector; reparations for descendants of African-American slaves; the closing of ICE. But perhaps the greatest danger to the eventual Democratic nominee is taxpayer-funded abortions for all situations.

For the preservation of American democracy and even of world order and peace, there is nothing—nothing—so important as ridding the Oval Office of its current pestilential occupant. That’s what makes so infuriating the Democratic left’s insistence on repealing the Hyde Amendment barring federal funding for abortion except to save the life of the woman, or if the pregnancy arises from incest or rape—and Biden’s abject surrender to that demand only a day after re-asserting his four-decade support of it.

There is a reason for the endurance of this legislation (named for the late Illinois Congressman Henry Hyde) since its enactment in 1976: It’s the closest legislative attempt to take into account so many Americans' ambivalence about abortion. That uncertainty also explains, for instance, why, though sentiment for same-sex marriage has moved decisively in a favorable direction in far less time, this country remains as fundamentally divided about abortion as it was when Roe v. Wade was handed down in 1973.

But, whether a product of the Left’s fury at anything associated even peripherally with Donald Trump, punitive new restrictions in states like Alabama, or Biden’s willingness to stretch too far for the Presidential prize that has long eluded him, the narrowed debate among Democrats this past week on this issue consigns what should be a searching discussion of moral ambiguity to a simple bumper sticker: “choice.”

Remarkably, their patent political foolishness matches their moral myopia.

Already, Trump is trotting out a line that will undoubtedly join his jabs about “socialism” a year from now: “Virtually every top Democrat also now supports taxpayer-funded abortion right up to the moment of birth,” he said at his campaign kickoff rally in Orlando two weeks ago.

For any other candidate other than the insult-spewing, managerial disaster in the Oval Office, this would have been the electoral equivalent of a haymaker. It may still be enough to make thousands of former or on-the-fence voters think twice about electing any Democrat.

Just when they can’t afford to lose the vote of any Republicans or independents disgruntled by Trump’s misconduct but sympathetic to some of his policies, the Democratic left has angered and alienated them.

Nice going, people.

I don’t think that terms like “liberal” or “progressive” apply to this group. The one that does is “Jacobin,” named for the extreme radicals who, before they were done, took the French Revolution beyond its initial aims of “liberty, equality, fraternity” to intolerance of other viewpoints, the Reign of Terror—and a reaction that saw a new strongman, Napoleon Bonaparte, rise from the chaos.

And so now, New York, Illinois, Rhode Island and Nevada have liberalized their abortion laws. Increasingly, there are no limits allowed to discourage partial-birth abortion, abortion on the basis of a preferred gender for a child—or, astoundingly for a party that has long championed greater regulation in all sectors of the economy to ensure safety, decriminalizing, in Nevada, supplying abortion-inducing pills without the advice of a doctor.

Washington Post columnist Michael Gerson has rightly pointed out the fateful step taken by the Jacobin Democrats: not merely permitting abortion under the Supreme Court’s Roe v. Wade guidelines, but actively promoting it.

It might be easy for the Left to dismiss this criticism by Gerson, a religious conservative who served as a speechwriter for George W. Bush. But it’s harder to ignore when the same argument is made by two liberals, Gerson’s Post colleague Cohen or PBS pundit Mark Shields, who correctly identify the multiple problems in Biden’s quick-as-a-blink capitulation to the absolutist wing of his party:

*If Biden had to change his position, he had plenty of time to do so before now. All the way down to his formal entrance into the primaries this year, Biden could have adjusted the position on abortion that he first staked out in his 2007 campaign memoir, Promises to Keep: “I’ve stuck to my middle-of-the-road position on abortion for more than 30 years. I still vote against partial birth abortion and federal funding, and I’d like to make it easier for scared young mothers to choose not to have an abortion, but I will also vote against a constitutional amendment that strips a woman of her right to make her own choice.”  By waiting till he was called out on the campaign trail, he furthered the decades-long impression that he is an inept Presidential candidate who can’t survive the primaries.

*Biden did not have to see himself cornered as the sole Democratic candidate who had voted for the Hyde Amendment. In fact, every single Democrat now running for the Presidency has cast a vote for the various spending bills that have included the amendment, according to this report by Carter Sherman of Vice. To be sure, they have said they have not voted for that specifically, but merely to maintain the mechanism to keep the government running. But the overall impact is about the same as those on Capitol Hill who said they opposed the Vietnam War but kept funding it.

*It will be far easier for Trump to cast Biden as an ideological weathervane. Think John Kerry looked bad after those windsurfing commercials in the 2004 election? Think what the President can do all by himself to Biden, without any TV ads. If he hasn’t cast about for a suitable nickname to match, rest assured it’s coming soon.

*The party that prides itself on “diversity” means that in terms of race, ethnicity and sexual orientation, not ideology. This weekend, New York Times columnist Nicholas Kristof took many of the paper’s readers—and, more widely speaking, college student activists—for demonizing conservatives and evangelicals. “Too often, we liberals embrace people who don’t look like us, but only if they think like us,” he pointed out.

Over the last couple of years, centrist voters—of both Democratic and Republican stripes—have been searching for a “Sister Souljah” moment, similar to Bill Clinton’s 1992 primary season repudiation of an extremist member of an otherwise traditional and loyal element of his party.

Instead, this past month centrists got Biden’s “Eagleton moment”—a sudden, undignified abandonment of what had seemed like absolute support for a person or position. That reference might mean little or nothing to the under-30s voters that Democrats keep touting as the electoral wave of the future, but it will strike a chord among the Baby Boomers who gave Trump his margin of victory over Hillary Clinton in 2016.

They will remember how George McGovern, the 1972 Democratic nominee for President, said, after the news broke of Thomas Eagleton’s electroshock therapy for treating depression, that he would back his running mate “1000 percent”; that he went back on his word just a couple of days later; and that an electorate already regarding McGovern quizzically now saw him as a weak, incompetent mess.

Biden’s abrupt about-face holds the potential for similar damage to Biden. It could even come from the left: On occasion, Garry Trudeau has neatly summed up the essence of certain politicos with an object rather than a face: a lit bomb for Newt Gingrich (referencing his destructive impact), a waffle for Bill Clinton (for his ideological dexterity). If he ever gets around to treating Biden in the same fashion, the object could be a humble piece of beach footwear: a flip-flop.

The split-the-difference posture that Biden jettisoned after a landslide of pressure was the party’s last nod in the direction of abortion being “safe, legal but rare”—Clinton’s rhetorically shrewd gesture to the uneasiness so many Americans feel about the procedure. You can take it to the bank that the last adjective goes by the wayside through the easier access desired by the Jacobin Democrats—and enacted into law in places like New York and Illinois.

Among the worst offenders is New York’s Senator Kirsten Gillibrand. She didn’t make much of an impression in the debates, but she represents a useful barometer of the worrisome new direction of her party as it relates to abortion: the equation of qualms about abortion to anti-Semitism and homophobia.

 “Imagine saying that it’s OK to appoint a judge who’s racist or anti-Semitic or homophobic,” she said in a Des Moines Register interview a couple of weeks ago. “Asking someone to appoint someone who takes away basic human rights of any group of people in America ... I don’t think those are political issues anymore.”

“All these efforts by President Trump and other ultra-radical conservative judges and justices to impose their faith on Americans is contrary to our Constitution, and that’s what this is,” she continued, adding: “There is no moral equivalency when you come to racism. And I do not believe that there is a moral equivalency when it comes to changing laws that deny women reproductive freedom.”

By this newly heightened rhetoric, the Jacobin left is not just imposing a litmus test but also a religious one. They effectively foreclose any appointment of a Catholic, for instance, who, in all other particulars about racial and economic justice and foreign policy, sides with the party, except for abortion.

The Democratic hierarchy has been struggling mightily to bring back to the fold voters in the Rust Belt who left the party in 2016. Do they really think Biden’s change will lure them back now, given the high proportion of Catholic voters in those states?

Once more, the Jacobin wing of the party has changed the conversation from the economic issues that are winners to the social ones that have kept them out of the White House these past 2½ years. They have just made the obstacles to winning it back that much harder to clear.

A Democratic path to victory will be assured as much by softening GOP support as by turning out their own hardcore supporters, but you’d better believe it will be far closer than the pollsters and pundits are forecasting now. Remember: not only did few foresee a Trump victory, but a number even foresaw a punishing landslide against the GOP.

In November 2020, in the not-unlikely event of another Trump victory, the Jacobin left would be well-advised to stop casting around for forces to blame, domestic or foreign, but instead take a long, hard look in their own mirrors. In their game of idiot’s delight, they’re already doing everything they can to hand re-election to Trump—and nowhere with as much moral obtuseness as in the abortion issue.

Sunday, October 9, 2016

The Trump ‘Brand’: A Clear and Present Danger to America



Last October, a journalist, out for dinner with me and another college friend, recalled his interview for a magazine roughly 30 years ago with Donald Trump. At the time, the Manhattan real estate magnate was riding high, not just on his various holdings but on his recent bestseller, The Art of the Deal.

The journalist asked the billionaire what was much on the minds of his bosses: “Why do you think you have become so successful?”

“He said, ‘The Trump Brand,’” the journalist remembered. “Over and over, the same thing: ‘The Trump Brand,’ ‘The Trump Brand.’ By the end of the interview, I was sick and tired of hearing it!”

In a way, the mogul’s emphasis on “brand” foreshadowed his stress throughout this election on his “winning.” There was a remarkably empty, hollow core to his bragging then and now: he could not articulate the benefits of his real estate to others any more than he could outline a clear, feasible domestic or foreign policy to voters. Yet listeners were supposed to be caught up in the excitement of merely the association with him.

What do supporters think they’re getting with “The Trump Brand”? American craftiness and shrewdness, manifested in The Art of the Deal? A Samson who, however flawed, will bring down with him the philistines at the heart of the corrupt American political system? Someone who’ll bring back a country—their country—that hasn’t existed in 60 years, and never will again? Or an enlarged embodiment of their own shadowy zenophobia, racism and sexism, for once given unapologetic, full-throated expression (“I am your voice”) by a candidate of a major political party? 

When it comes to politics, though, I’d say the Trump brand involves 4 “D’s”—deadbeat, deceiver, divider, and demagogue—all adding up to a fifth, positively toxic one: a danger to this republic. Maybe that’s why even many longtime conservatives believe the candidate displays “an infantile hunger for approval” (Pulitzer Prize-winning columnist Charles Krauthammer) or is insane (the headline for a post-Democratic Convention column by former Ronald Reagan speechwriter Peggy Noonan, when he began to bellow about criticism from parents of a Muslim-American soldier: “The Week They Decided Trump Was Crazy”).

From Great Pretender to Great Divider
This has been an extraordinary year, and it won’t cease being so now, even if Trump gets beaten in a landslide, which appears a much distinct possibility in the wake of the bombshell 2005 recording in which he bragged to Billy Bush of  "Access Hollywood" about groping women. The candidate may fade after Election Day, but the equivalent of mad-dog disease with which he infected into the body politic will be harder to get out of the system. 

How many times as children were we taught the following by our parents? Don’t belittle somebody. Don’t be rude. Don’t be crude. Don’t brag. Don’t whine. Don’t cheat. Don’t lie. Which of these has Trump not done this election? How do we expect today’s children to react to the spectacle of thousands acclaiming this 70-year-old rich brat?

The businessman-reality-star-GOP-candidate has created nothing but division across the American landscape—within families, within political parties, and within an electorate that, no matter its other differences of opinion, previously practiced a kind of civil religion concerning national ideals.

About a year ago, a friend of mine now living in Florida told me, “Whatever you do, don’t vote for Jeb Bush.” With my experience of the governor of my own state, I responded, “Whatever you do, don’t vote for Chris Christie.”  Neither of us could foresee that two politicians we heartily detested from personal experience would nevertheless be preferable to a billionaire blowhard with an unerring instinct for exploiting the worst instincts of the American people, let alone that said blowhard would rampage through the primaries to seize the GOP nomination and now put the party on the brink of a civil war. 

It all comes courtesy of a candidate with fundamental problems in recognizing truth. He lies when he’s in bed, then again as soon as he steps out of it, round the clock. 

The Press: How to Cover Trump's Big Lies
That mendacity has presented a historic challenge to journalists’ goal of objectivity. His lies have been so numerous, so nakedly HUGE, that there has been no way for the Fourth Estate to examine the factual nature of his statements without openly calling into question his honesty. To say that his statements are "inaccurate," even "false," doesn't begin to get at the brazenness with which he throws around half-truths and then, when they no longer suit him, rewrites history as if it didn't exist, Orwellian style, as when he claimed to have "ended" the birther lie about President Obama that he had done so much to spread.

A new generation of journalists, then, is rediscovering the dilemma that faced their 1950s forebears with Senator Joseph McCarthy: how to avoid giving oxygen to a bullying liar. Without enough GOP surrogates to call out Trump, they have been forced to take on the job themselves. (In what other election has The New York Times ever referred in a headline to the prior seven days of a candidate as his “Week of Whoppers”?) 

Their contempt for Trump’s outrageous utterances has been harder and harder to conceal. After all, if you are forced, one 24-hour news cycle after another, to disprove a candidate’s claims—if that candidate doesn’t even try to substantiate his claims, or tweets ever so innocently that "many people  are saying" that Ted Cruz's father was connected to the Kennedy assassination—how can you not run the risk that readers or listeners will believe you see the politico as either a liar or lunatic?

Don’t think that conservatives haven’t noticed and resented this erosion of a once-bright journalistic line, or that they won’t recall it with the dawn of a new administration this January. 

The former reality-show star’s path to the GOP nomination sped along because he sized up primary voters as shrewdly as he did the audience for The Apprentice. In this sense, his statements have been less splenetic than strategic: Any time a reporter is obliged to point out a rank falsehood by Trump, he or she is called biased—and all by the same man who considers it a dark, dark day when some reporter, somewhere, isn’t covering him.

The Preposterous Longevity of a Gaffe Machine
Even after a week in which he body-shamed a past Miss Universe and responded to the news that he may have avoided as much as 18 years of taxes by claiming more than $900 million in losses, Trump stayed close enough in the polls to Democratic nominee Hilary Clinton to be well within the margin of error. Even after his audiotape with Billy Bush forced him to make what may be the only attempt at a public apology that he’s ever given in his adult life, social media posts continued to ring with unshaken faith in him. 

Virtually nobody would have believed a year ago that he would have gotten even this far. After all, his disadvantages were legion: 

*a landlord in a nation that excoriates his kind; 

*a front-page philanderer campaigning in a heartland where the name “Bill Clinton” is still mud; 

*a born-on-third-base businessman with a spotty record of losses and broken promises to go with his billions; 

*a classic RINO (Republican in Name Only), who has contributed mightily to Democratic coffers and doesn’t hide his lack of interest in issues such as abortion and same-sex marriage; 

*an eager user of draft deferments in the Vietnam period who criticized a war hero unlucky enough to be captured; and 

* an Easterner—a New Yorker, no less—who swept states where another candidate from godless Gotham, Rudy Giuliani, was swamped in 2008. 

The success of this persona may be astonishing, but the list of his offensive comments can only be called “preposterously lengthy.” Other candidates saw the wind blown out of their campaigns by a single gaffe (e.g., John Kerry’s, even before the 2008 Democratic primaries kicked off, with his dumb joke that students who neglected their education could get “stuck in Iraq”). 

Trump has managed to tick off a whole litany of people: POWs, women, Hispanics, Asians, Muslims, blacks, Jews, and advocates for the disabled. I never thought someone in the political arena would combine the huckster instincts of P.T. Barnum with the all-encompassing offensiveness of Spiro Agnew.

One after another, each succeeding Trump pronouncement led the media to blink its eyes in astonishment, then opine—solemnly, repeatedly, and with the next day’s pronouncement, wrongly—that he’d stooped to a “new low.” The reality TV star who discussed with Billy Bush the fun of “p----y” was perfectly in line with the vulgarian who said Megyn Kelly had "blood coming out of her whatever” and who claimed that Hillary Clinton had been “schlonged” by Barack Obama back in 2008.

Each time, many of us expected the offensive remark to become an acid test for the party’s rank and file. But many still haven’t unequivocally rejected Trump. If not by now, a month before the election, when? 

Peggy Noonan, Hugh Hewitt, Ross Douthat, and David Brooks were just a few of the Establishment conservatives who admitted that their own incorrect guesses about Trump in the primaries disqualify them from making further predictions about his future. Let’s say this: Trump's improbable run is no longer an enigma, though it is heartbreakingly sad to see this happen to the party of Lincoln and Theodore Roosevelt. 

The latest count taken by The New York Times shows that 160 Republican officials have announced they will not support Trump. The paper published on one side a column showing an outrageous statement by the candidate, with the other side listing when the officials walked—or, put another way, when they decided he had crossed a line.

For me, Trump "crossed a line" the day he entered the race, with his remark about Mexico sending "people that have lots of problems," including drug carriers and  "rapists." Virtually everything he has said since then has only confirmed it. He has run on rancid resentment, not on a cause or a philosophy of government (as, at least, Ronald Reagan did, however much one may disagree with it). How appropriate that this week's firestorm has now led many Republicans to revolt at last. For my part, I, as a New York-area resident, found Trump’s tabloid-ready bloviations revolting decades ago.

Nor will he leave the race with a single grace note, as John McCain did in '08 when he corrected a questioner who said Barack Obama was a Muslim that his opponent wasn't, that he was a Christian and father and that their disagreement was simply about issues. He has coarsened our politics and lowered our standing in the eyes of the world, an impression that may take decades to counter.

Some weeks ago, a friend told me that she liked this blog because I did not write about politics all the time. It was an accurate assessment, because I don’t like writing about politics again and again and again.

The current election, however,  requires a more intensive discussion than I have given it to date, because it raises concerns that either have not surfaced in decades or that never appeared before. Over the next few weeks—even if, by a miracle, Trump withdraws from the race—I will devote much of this space to the unique challenge he poses to American democracy. In keeping with the word my friend used a year ago, I’ll examine his “brand” and the several aspects of it that bear directly on his fitness for the nation’s highest office: deadbeat, deceiver, divider, and demagogue.

(Photo taken by Gage Skidmore of Donald Trump speaking with supporters at a campaign rally at the Prescott Valley Event Center in Prescott Valley, Arizona, Oct. 4, 2016.)

Saturday, May 7, 2016

Quote of the Day (Margaret Carlson, With Limited Sympathy for the Devil)



“What an unhappy choice Republicans had to make. As much as the party wanted an alternative to Trump — preferring to be poisoned rather than shot — after a sustained look at Cruz they preferred the candidate with the highest negatives in history to the smug, sour, self-absorbed, dangerously ambitious senator. Still such an outright rejection must hurt. Even the devil has feelings.”— Margaret Carlson, “The Night I Almost Felt Sorry for Ted Cruz,” Chicago Tribune, May 4, 2016