“[N]ext Tuesday night is likely gonna be the
emotional equivalent of riding the Cyclone at Coney Island: a nerve-jangling,
empty-out-the-liquor-cabinet-and-stash-box sort of affair.”—John Heilemann, “The Zombie Election: Four Ways the Campaign May Be Undead on November 7,” New
York Magazine, November 5, 2012
Heilemann spells out four nightmare scenarios this
Tuesday:
1) The Romney Squeaker Scenario,
in which the GOP candidate takes the Electoral College vote with a razor-thin
271-276 total, raising all kinds of suspicions among the left (already going on,
even) about voter-suppression schemes in close states;
2) The Reverse Gore Scenario (i.e., this time the Republican wins the popular
vote and the Democrat, the Electoral College);
3) The Recount (or Recounts) Scenario, in which the lawyered-up
campaigns take each other to court—at just the time when the federal government
will be facing “the fiscal cliff,” expiration of the Bush tax cuts, and another
squabble over the debt ceiling; and
4) The Tie-Goes-to-the-Romney Scenario, in which, astonishingly, the
Electoral College vote ends up tied, throwing the election into the House of
Representatives, where state delegations are given a single vote—and Romney
wins.
Heilemann doesn’t mention what might be the most insane scenario of them all, voiced by NBC’s Chuck Todd: that failure to win an Electoral College vote
throws the election into the hands of Congress, where the Republican-controlled
House of Representatives elects Romney President, but the Democratic-controlled Senate re-elects
Joe Biden V-P, thereby giving full employment for stand-up comics in the
next four years in the form of a gaffe-prone President and Vice-President, from opposing parties. (I'm not sure this is what people had in mind by "bipartisanship"!)
On Facebook over the last several days, I’ve seen
more than a few posts of liquor bottles used by friends unnerved by, or
celebrating the end of, Hurricane Sandy. We all might need this multiplied if
any of the above comes to pass.
(The political
caricature accompanying this post comes from DonkeyHotey.)
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