“The expansionist claims of Beijing are transparent
and unique among today’s powerful nations. But the Beijing regime, while a
dictatorship, is a rational dictatorship. It can count the numbers. It is often
patient in fulfilling its goals. Equipped with a growing cadre of younger,
well-trained officials, Beijing does not, like the Ming and Qing courts,
deceive itself with beautiful fictions to hide the gap between reality and
China’s preferred worldview. China, in sum, is an ambitious power that, if
faced with countervailing power, will act prudently in its long-term strategy.
It surely knows that a formidable list of powers—the United States, Japan,
Russia, India—has many reasons for denying China the opportunity to be a
21st-century Middle Kingdom. China was not as weak as it seemed when it was the
‘sick man of Asia.’ It may not be as endurably strong as it now seems to those
who fear or admire it.”—Australian historian and China specialist Ross Terrill,
“What Does China Want?”, The Wilson Quarterly, Autumn 2005
This article, as you can see, was published 13 years
ago. Much has happened in the interim—notably, an American government
continually talking about standing up to China on trade, but pulling in its
horns around the world.
This may be as good a time as any to suggest that
America’s principal advantage over China is freedom. If only our leaders could
remember that…
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